2020 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Rejoice! The football season is almost upon us. With COVID19 and the impact of the pandemic across America, it was hard to imagine Football season coming to fruition, but it looks like we’re going to be having a season after all. More importantly, it means it looks like we’re going to be able to play some fantasy football again. 

A lot of big time moves happened over the off-season: Brady left New England, some big name wide receivers made moves (Deandre Hopkins, Stefon Diggs, Brandin Cooks), stud running backs found new homes (David Johnson, Leonard Fournette, Melvin Gordon, Todd Gurley), as well as some other big moves that will most likely spice this season up a bit. 

With all that said, it might be difficult to try and predict how these changes will impact fantasy performances. Alas, have no fear because our Fantasy Football Handicapper Ryan Watson is here. I’m going to tell you 5 players I think will outperform their current projections, 5 players I think will underperform, and give you my top 200 rankings to help you dominate your season long Fantasy Football Draft.

5 Players That Will Overachieve This Year

  • Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills
      • Last year, Singletary was off to a quality start. He scored double digit points in the first two weeks for PPR scoring, but then an injury caused him to miss 4 straight games. He also had legendary running back Frank Gore on his team to take away carries from him. With Frank Gore gone, Singletary should see an increase in carries. Zack Moss was brought in, but I don’t see Moss competing for that starting role. The Bills general manager told reporters that Moss will be used primarily in goalline situations, and that Singletary will be used in a role similar to last season. Without injuries, Singletary was on pace for a top 15 running back campaign, so it should be expected that he can be a top RB2 for this season if he stays healthy. He’s currently going around the 4th round as the RB23, so if he’s there for you in round 4, I say take him.
  • Hayden Hurst, TE, Atlanta Falcons
      • Hurst was traded into an amazing situation. Being traded to the Falcons is a wonderful thing for any tight end’s career. The Falcons offensive coordinator is known to prioritize his tight end, and it showed last year with Austin Hooper and his performance. My thought process is this: if Hooper can do it, Hurst can too. Hayden Hurst is a skilled tight end, whose career didn’t get off to the start he was expecting due to injuries and the emergence of Mark Andrews in Baltimore. This is Hurst’s time to shine, and even if he only accomplishes three quarters of what Hooper managed to do last season, he will be a top 12 tight end. If you’re looking to wait on picking a tight end this year, Hurst should be in your sights. He is currently going in the 9th round, and I think that’s some crazy value for him as he could very well end up a top 5 TE at the end of the season.
  • T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts
      • T.Y. Hilton is a stud. Plain and simple. However, last season just was not his year. Not only did he have to deal with the retirement of Andrew Luck and the last minute replacement Jacoby Brissett, he also had to deal with injuries throughout the season. With Brissett under center, T.Y.’s average yards per catch dropped significantly. Brissett also struggled at times to maintain drives down the field, which hurt T.Y.’s scoring opportunities. With Philip Rivers now under center, and an entire offseason to deal with injuries, Hilton should see an increase to his yards per catch as well as an increase to his touchdowns. I know Rivers isn’t necessarily the same gunslinger that he used to be, but he’s still an improvement from Brissett. T.Y. has potential to be a WR2 this season, and is currently going around the 6th-7th round. If T.Y. is available for you around that time, I think there’s some great value in picking him due to his new situation.
  • Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens
      • Hollywood showed some serious signs last season of being an elite fantasy WR. Week 1 he popped off for 147 yards and 2 touchdowns, and followed it up with 86 yards on 8 catches week 2. Which is pretty crazy when you factor in that he didn’t have a full offseason last year due to injuries. He was also on a snap count during the season, which explains why he only managed to get 71 targets. This season, it is not unlikely that he will see around 100 targets, and it is not unlikely that he will use those targets to put up some serious numbers. With defenses having to focus on Lamar Jackson’s running game, Hollywood Brown should be able to be a serious downfield threat. Coach Harbaugh said they will make defenses pay for their 1-on-1 matchups with his WRs, and Harbaugh believes the next step for their offense is to maximize their passing game. With a full offseason, no snap count, and a focus on the passing game, Hollywood’s ceiling is being a WR1 in fantasy. He may have some consistency issues, but Hollywood could single-handedly win you a week. He’s currently going around the 6th round, but could be worth picking earlier in that due to his insane potential.
  • Jordan Howard, RB, Miami Dolphins
    • Jordan Howard is about to begin his first season as a Miami Dolphin. In his first 3 seasons with the Bears, he had 1,000+ yards from scrimmage, and in all 4 seasons he’s played in the NFL, he has managed to score at least 7 touchdowns. His season last year with the Eagles was tarnished by injuries, yet he still managed 7 touchdowns, and was on pace for another 1,000 yard season before his injury. The Dolphins upgraded their o-line, but they also brought in RB Matt Breida. Breida will most likely vulture some fantasy points form Howard, but Breida is expected to be more of a third down RB, where Howard will get the first two downs, as well as the goalline usage. Howard is going around the 9th round as of now, but has potential to be a fringe RB2 due to his experience and ability to score touchdowns.

5 Players To Avoid This Year

  • Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills
      • Yes, Stefon Diggs is a very talented wide receiver. However, the Bills are not a very talented passing game. Don’t get me wrong, the Vikings weren’t the most elite passing game in the league either, but Josh Allen’s accuracy issues are something worth noting. Throughout Allen’s first 2 years, he has yet to eclipse a 60% completion rate. What also doesn’t help is that the Bills ranked 24th in pass attempts last season. So, with limited pass attempts and a poor completion rate, it is hard to expect Diggs to put up impressive numbers unless things change in Buffalo. John Brown is also still there to vulture targets, so it’s difficult to justify Stefon’s 6th round ADP, especially when you can most likely get a WR with more upside such as T.Y. Hilton or Hollywood Brown. 
  • Mark Ingram II, RB, Baltimore Ravens
      • Ingram is coming off of a stellar 2019 season, which saw him score 15 touchdowns and over 1,250 yards from scrimmage. He was an RB1 and he scored over 20 fantasy points in PPR formats 5 times. However, coming into this season I believe fantasy team owners should be wary of picking him. Ingram is on the wrong side of 30, and most of the time that’s a red flag for an NFL running back. He also scored 15 touchdowns last season! The most he had ever scored during any season throughout his 9 year career. I’m struggling to see him put up those kinds of numbers again, especially since the Raven’s used a 2nd round pick on the talented JK Dobbins. Dobbins should be expected to get some usage and lower the volume of Ingram. So, with the arrival of Dobbins, and the expected touchdown regression, I expect Ingram to put up RB3 numbers this season. With his current ADP of the 6th round, I just can’t justify spending that much on him.
  • Cooper Kupp, WR, LA Rams
      • Cooper Kupp was a machine during the first half of the season, scoring double digit points (in PPR formats) all but 1 of those weeks. However, over the last 8 weeks Kupp was the WR21. What happened? McVay focused on using a 2 TE formation, that’s what happened. And 2 tight end formations don’t favor a slot receiver like Kupp. McVay seems committed to maintaining his focus on using 2 TEs, and with Robert Woods and Tyler Higbee expected to see a good amount of targets, it’s hard to imagine that Kupp repeats the 10 TD 2019 season he had. He is currently going in the 3rd round, and while I think Kupp can still put up WR2 numbers, I don’t think he’s worth the risk of a third round pick.
  • Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Bucs
      • Bringing in Brady to replace Jameis should benefit everyone, right? Not necessarily. Winston had his issues, for sure, but he was still a great factor in Mike Evans’ success. Winston was tied for first in pass attempts last season, and Evans was his most trusted target. Winston loved throwing the ball to Mike Evans. Will Brady? Who can say. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Tampa Bay (Godwin, Brate, Howard, Gronk), and you can’t assume he will be targeting Evans as much as Jameis did. At the very least, I have to assume that Evans will be targeted a little less in the red zone, as we all know Gronk is a monster in the red zone. And we know Brady and Gronk have a strong relationship. Of course I still expect Evans to be a fringe WR1/strong WR2 this season, I just struggle to justify his 2nd round ADP when there are other options with more upside.
  • Austin Hooper, TE, Cleveland Browns
    • Hooper is coming off of a stellar season last year in Atlanta. He signed a 4-year, $44 million contract with the Browns during the offseason. Good for him! Get your money, big boy. But, I don’t think he replicates anywhere close to the numbers on the Browns as he did last year with the Falcons. The Browns have a lot of different options for targets (Odell Beckham Jr, Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, David Njoku), and most (if not all) of them are more athletic and talented than Austin Hooper. And with new Head Coach Stefanski having a history of not passing the ball a lot, it’s hard to imagine Hooper not being TD reliant from a fantasy football scoring perspective. Hooper is currently going around the 9th round, but there will be better options available around that time (i.e. Hayden Hurst). I say avoid Hooper.

I wish you the best of luck this season, and fingers crossed that COVID does not cause the season to end early.

Top 200 Rankings

1Christian McCaffreyCARRB
2Saquon BarkleyNYGRB
3Ezekiel ElliottDALRB
4Alvin KamaraNORB
5Dalvin CookMINRB
6Clyde Edwards-HelaireKCRB
7Michael ThomasNOWR
8Davante AdamsGBWR
9Kenyan DrakeARIRB
10Derrick HenryTENRB
11Josh JacobsLVRB
12Miles SandersPHIRB
13Joe MixonCINRB
14Nick ChubbCLERB
15Julio JonesATLWR
16Tyreek HillKCWR
17Allen RobinsonCHIWR
18Travis KelceKCTE
19Austin EkelerLACRB
20Aaron JonesGBRB
21DeAndre HopkinsARIWR
22D.J. MooreCARWR
23Chris CarsonSEARB
24Adam ThielenMINWR
25Chris GodwinTBWR
26Kenny GolladayDETWR
27Robert WoodsLARWR
28George KittleSFTE
29Mike EvansTBWR
30Amari CooperDALWR
31JuJu Smith-SchusterPITWR
32Jonathan TaylorINDRB
33David JohnsonHOURB
34A.J. BrownTENWR
35Calvin RidleyATLWR
36Odell Beckham Jr.CLEWR
37Todd GurleyATLRB
38Melvin GordonDENRB
39James ConnerPITRB
40Lamar JacksonBALQB
41Patrick MahomesKCQB
42Tyler LockettSEAWR
43Courtland SuttonDENWR
44Keenan AllenLACWR
45Terry MclaurinWASWR
46D.J. CharkJACWR
47D.K. MetcalfSEAWR
48Le’Veon BellNYJRB
49Cooper KuppLARWR
50D’Andre SwiftDETRB
51T.Y. HiltonINDWR
52Devin SingletaryBUFRB
53Leonard FournetteTBRB
54Mark Ingram IIBALRB
55Mark AndrewsBALTE
56Michael GallupDALWR
57Raheem MostertSFRB
58Kareem HuntCLERB
59Devante ParkerMIAWR
60Cam AkersLARRB
61Marquise BrownBALWR
62Julian EdelmanNEWR
63Stefon DiggsBUFWR
64Marvin JonesDETWR
65Jarvis LandryCLEWR
66Darren WallerLVTE
67Zach ErtzPHITE
68Diontae JohnsonPITWR
69Tyler BoydCINWR
70A.J. GreenCINWR
71Dak PrescottDALQB
72Will FullerHOUWR
73Kyler MurrayARIQB
74Brandin CooksHOUWR
75Anthony MillerCHIWR
76Jordan HowardMIARB
77Tyler HigbeeLARTE
78James WhiteNERB
79Antonio GibsonWASRB
80Henry Ruggs IIILVWR
81J.K. DobbinsBALRB
82Ryquell ArmsteadJACRB
83Deshaun WatsonHOUQB
84Sterling ShepardNYGWR
85CeeDee LambDALWR
86Matt BreidaMIARB
87Ronald Jones IITBRB
88Latavius MurrayNORB
89David MontgomeryCHIRB
90Russell WilsonSEAQB
91Evan EngramNYGTE
92Tarik CohenCHIRB
93Phillip LindsayDENRB
94Kerryon JohnsonDETRB
95Boston ScottPHIRB
96Preston WilliamsMIAWR
97Alexander MattisonMINRB
98Tony PollardDALRB
99Josh AllenBUFQB
100Carson WentzPHIQB
101Christian KirkARIWR
102Chase EdmondsARIRB
103Zack MossBUFRB
104Marlon MackINDRB
105Jamison CrowderNYJWR
106Emmanuel SandersNOWR
107Hayden HurstATLTE
108Deebo SamuelSFWR
109Tevin ColemanSFRB
110Hunter HenryLACTE
111Desean JacksonPHIWR
112Golden TateNYGWR
113Damien HarrisNERB
114Jerick McKinnonSFRB
115Darius SlaytonNYGWR
116Mecole HardmanKCWR
117Darrell HendersonLARRB
118Duke JohnsonHOURB
119Matt RyanATLQB
120John BrownBUFWR
121Drew BreesNOQB
122Tom BradyTBQB
123Darrel WilliamsKCRB
124Rob GronkowskiTBTE
125Jerry JeudyDENWR
126T.J. HockensonDETTE
127Parris CampbellINDWR
128Chris ThompsonJACRB
129Curtis SamuelCARWR
130Mike WilliamsLACWR
131Brandon AiyukSFWR
132Breshad PerrimanNYJWR
133Cam NewtonNEQB
134Jalen ReagorPHIWR
135Nyheim HinesINDRB
136Matthew StaffordDETQB
137Sony MichelNERB
138Joshua KelleyLACRB
139Darrynton EvansTENRB
140Benny Snell Jr.PITRB
141Ke’Shawn VaughnTBRB
142Jared CookNOTE
143Austin HooperCLETE
144Adrian PetersonWASRB
145Mike GesickiMIATE
146N’Keal HarryNEWR
147Dallas GoedertPHITE
148Eric EbronPITTE
149Jonnu SmithTENTE
150Steven SimsWASWR
151Allen LazardGBWR
152Laviska Shenault Jr.JACWR
153Sammy WatkinsKCWR
154Chris Herndon IVNYJTE
155Blake JarwinDALTE
156Jared GoffLARQB
157Giovani BernardCINRB
158Irv Smith Jr.MINTE
159Carlos HydeSEARB
160Noah FantDENTE
161Anthony McFarland Jr.PITRB
162Daniel JonesNYGQB
163Jamaal WilliamsGBRB
164Brian HillATLRB
165Aaron RodgersGBQB
166Ben RoethlisbergerPITQB
167Mike DavisCARRB
168Michael Pittman Jr.INDWR
169Justin JeffersonMINWR
170Larry FitzgeraldARIWR
171Robby AndersonCARWR
172Randall CobbHOUWR
173Jack DoyleINDTE
174Corey DavisTENWR
175James WashingtonPITWR
176Miles BoykinBALWR
177Bryan EdwardsLVWR
178Teddy BridgewaterCARQB
179Ryan TannehillTENQB
180Ian ThomasCARTE
181Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGBWR
182Justin JacksonLACRB
183A.J. DillonGBRB
184Joe BurrowCINQB
185Jimmy GaroppoloSFQB
186Alshon JefferyPHIWR
187LeSean McCoyTBRB
188Baker MayfieldCLEQB
189Gardner Minshew IIJAXQB
190Drew LockDENQB
191Greg OlsenSEATE
192Lamar MillerNERB
193Kirk CousinsMINQB
194Dawson KnoxBUFTE
195Will DisslySEATE
196Malcolm BrownLARRB
197Hunter RenfrowLVWR
198Devonta FreemanFARB
199Trayveon WilliamsCINRB
200Devine OzigboJACRB


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