Best Bet – PITTSBURGH (+4.5) @ CLEVELAND (-4.5)
The over has really caught my eye in this matchup. The number is just flat out wrong. Though neither team would be mistaken for an offensive juggernaut, too many starting defenders are doubtful or out heading into Thursday Night Football on the quick turnaround. I can’t justify the sub-40 total. Browns edge rushers Jadeveon Clowney and Chase Winovich are out. Myles Garrett is questionable, which will afford Steelers QB Mitch Trubisky much-needed time in the pocket as rookies fill in for the absentees. Pittsburgh is still without the incomparable LB T.J. Watt. Through two weeks, Cleveland QB Jacoby Brissett owns a higher passer rating than guys named Wilson, Murray, Brady and Stafford and that has led to a Browns offense that averages 28 points a game which is 7th in the NFL. The Steelers average 18.5ppg – Average total points 46.5. I’ll happily take the over 38 here.
Cleveland Browns – 28
Pittsburgh Steelers – 24
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