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Best Bet: March Madness is heating up and we are back with 3 best bets. Starting at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, we have 10 seed Maryland facing 2 seed Alabama in the East region. Alabama comes into this matchup with a 16-12-2 ATS record on the season, while Maryland is sporting a 12-16 ATS record. Alabama has had one of the best defenses in the country all season allowing only 86.7 points per 100 possessions which is 2nd best in the country (only being Loyola Chicago). Maryland ranks 27th in such category. Maryland is also 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games when facing a top 15 team in adjusted defensive efficiency losing by an average of 14 points per game. While also having one of the best defenses in the game, Alabama can also push the ball up the floor on transition offense holding the 2nd best adjusted tempo rate (possessions per 40 minutes) at 73.4 possessions, and can stop offenses in their tracks, especially Maryland who rank 319th in possessions per 40 minutes. Currently, there is 55% of the public backing Maryland +6 in this matchup, but the line has moves a point and a half towards Alabama since opening. Back the line movement and fade the public with Alabama -6.
According to scorecast with over 10,000 score simulations run Alabama is winning by an average of 10 points and the Best Bet is Alabama -6 at -110 at Playsugarhouse.
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Monday, March 22
SCORECAST | ODDS | BEST BETS | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#7Oregon 76 | #2Iowa 79 | IOWA (-5.5) | No Bet | |||
#8Oklahoma 72 | #1Gonzaga 86 | GONZ (-14) | No Bet | |||
#14Abilene Christian 67 | #11UCLA 75 | UCLA (-5) | BEST BET – UCLA -5 | |||
#13Ohio 74 | #5Creighton 82 | CREI (-5.5) | No Bet | |||
#8LSU 74 | #1Michigan 80 | MICH (-5) | No Bet | |||
#5Colorado 73 | #4Florida State 72 | FSU (-1.5) | BEST BET – Colorado ML | |||
#10Maryland 70 | #2Alabama 80 | BAMA (-6) | BEST BET – Alabama -6 | |||
#6USC 70 | #3Kansas 69 | USC (-1.5) | No Bet | |||
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