Kentucky Derby Winner from Top Rated Horse Racing Handicapper

The final field for the 145th Kentucky Derby is set, and it promises to be one of the most open Derbys in recent memory with 5 horses under the 8-1 quote. The major story line heading into the race is the scratching of Omaha Beach, who was made the morning line favorite at Tuesday’s post position draw. Top rated Sportsbet Magazine Horse racing Handicapper Michael McCabe was disappointed with the scratching but not for the reason you may think. Our Top Rated handicapper thought Omaha beach was vulnerable at the distance and has now taken some value out of betting with other contenders shortening after the scratching. The event will go off as the 12th race of the day on Saturday with a local post time of 6:50 PM ET.

The new morning line favorite for the race is Game Winner, who comes into the Derby off back to back narrow defeats in the Rebel Stakes (G2) at Oaklawn Park and the Santa Anita Derby (G1). However, trainer Bob Baffert has said countless times that this race was the ultimate objective, where he will have him ready to fire his best race of the season. The Candy Ride colt has drawn post 16, with jockey Joel Rosario aboard.

Kentucky Derby Final Field & Odds

PP # HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ML ODDS
1 War of Will (War Front) Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 15-1
2 Tax (Arch) Junior Alvarado Danny Gargan 20-1
3 By My Standards (Goldencents) Gabriel Saez Bret Calhoun 15-1
4 Gray Magician (Graydar) Drayden Van Dyke Peter Miller 50-1
5 Improbable (City Zip) Irad Ortiz, Jr. Bob Baffert 5-1
6 Vekoma (Candy Ride) Javier Castellano George Weaver 15-1
7 Maximum Security (New Year’s Day) Luis Saez Jason Servis 8-1
8 Tacitus (Tapit) Jose Ortiz Bill Mott 8-1
9 Plus Que Parfait (Point of Entry) Ricardo Santana, Jr. Bill Walsh 30-1
10 Cutting Humor (First Samurai) Corey Lanerie Todd Pletcher 30-1
11 Haikal (Daaher) Rajiv Maragh Kiaran P. McLaughlin 30-1
SCR Omaha Beach (War Front) Mike Smith Richard Mandella SCRATCHED
13 Code of Honor (Noble Mission) John Velazquez Shug McGaughey 12-1
14 Win Win Win (Hat Trick) Julian Pimentel Michael Trombetta 12-1
15 Master Fencer (Just a Way) Julien Leparoux K. Tsunoda 50-1
16 Game Winner (Candy Ride) Joel Rosario Bob Baffert 9-2
17 Roadster (Quality Road) Florent Geroux Bob Baffert 5-1
18 Long Range Toddy (Take Charge Indy) Jon Court Steve Asmussen 30-1
19 Spinoff (Hard Spun) Manny Franco Todd Pletcher 30-1
20 Country House (Lookin At Lucky) Flavien Prat Bill Mott 30-1
AE-21 Bodexpress (Bodemeister) Chris Landeros Gustavo Delgado 30-1

Speed Map


The Kentucky Derby Winner

(8) Tacitus (9-1) — Has the ideal draw for his style of Racing and as we take a look at the above speed map their looks to be plenty of speed in front of him while allowing him to be close enough come the final turn. Jockey Jose Ortiz will be able to get him into a great position and give him every possible chance. I liked his odds even more before the scratching of Omaha Beach but we are still getting outstanding value at 9-1. This is the horse that (trainer) Bill Mott says the longer he goes, the better he does. In the Wood Memorial he got slammed out of the gate, almost went to his knees, still won easily and galloped out great. Look for him to be flying over the top of them in the final furlong to become the 145th winner of the Kentucky Derby.

Best Bet Tacitus EW

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