Kentucky Derby

2015 Kentucky Derby       Odds

American Pharoah            5-2
Dortmund                          4-1
Carpe Diem                      15-2 
Mubtaahij                         10-1
Materiality                        12-1
Frosted                             16-1
Firing Line                        16-1
International Star             18-1
Upstart                              20-1
El Kabeir                          33-1
Far Right                          33-1
Bolo                                  40-1
Danzig Moon                    40-1
Ocho Ocho Ocho             40-1
Mr. Z                                 40-1
Keen Ice                           40-1
Itsaknockout                     40-1
War Story                         40-1
Tencendur                        66-1


Kentucky Derby prep races concluded with a smashing performance from American Pharoah, who likely assured himself the favorite’s role in the 141st Kentucky Derby when romping by eight lengths in the April 11 Arkansas Derby. Either we witnessed an incredible talented 3 year old or one of the weakest Million dollar purse fields in the Arkansas Derby, only time will tell.

Trained by three-time Kentucky Derby winner Bob Baffert, American Pharoah increased his point total to 160, vaulting to the fourth on the Leaderboard behind International Star(171), Dortmund (170) and Carpe Diem (164).

Baffert has a strangle hold on this years Kentucky Derby with American Pharoah and Dortmund both serious chances to end up with a blanket of roses on their back on the evening of the first Saturday in May. Whilst most of us were leaning towards Dortmund prior to the Arkansas Derby, Its now evident that the 2-year-old champ has the ability to give him a serious run for his money. Either way, both horses are prepared to give it their all and this year’s loaded Kentucky Derby is bound not to disappoint.


Derby Facts for Thought

– Winners at 10/1 or less win 80% of the time over history

– Only 14 Derby winners (10%) have won at odds of 20/1 or higher.
– Post 17 has yet to yield a winner. 18 and 19 have only done it once       each.
– 80% of derby winners since 1970 have finished 1st or 2nd in final prep
– Since 1875, the favorite has finished off the board 39 times (27%)
– Since 1980, the favorite has finished off the board 21 times (60%)
– Average field size: 1875-1980 = 11.48
– Average field size: Since 1980 = 17.91

With Champion trainer Bob Baffert already with one hand on the trophy, the last question remains can he beat the great curse of the Storm Cat. No descendant of Storm Cat has yet to win a Kentucky Derby. This years runners include
– American Pharoah (Dam Side)- Carpe Diem (Sire Side)- Conquest Typhoon (Sire Side)

– Dortmund (Dam Side)

– El Kabeir (Sire Side)

– Firing Line (Sire Side)

– Mr. Z (Dam Side)

– Stanford (Dam Side)

– Tencendur (Dam Side)

Sportsbet Magazine thinks he can, were tipping American Pharoah to go all the way and give the Triple Crown a shake!



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