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Best Bet: Back with more MLB Best Bets as we head to Cincinnati where the Reds host the Chicago White Sox. The Reds come into this game off of a hard fought series battle with the other Chicago team, the Cubs. The Reds won this series 2-1 by a run differential of +2. We saw their bats get hot in the last game of the series where they were able to put 13 runs up on the board on 16 hits. Dylan Cease, the starting pitcher for the White Sox today, had an impressive outing his last time out… against the 30th ranked team in batting average. Before that game, he has not pitched full innings and had not let up either 2+ runs or 7+ batter get on base. Cease is a big fastball pitcher (54% of pitches are 4-seam fastballs) with some control problems going up against a Reds offense that ranks 4th in the MLB in batting average and 3rd in on-base percentage. The Reds offense has kept them in more games than their pitching, but Jeff Hoffman comes to the mound today for the Reds and he has been impressive in his starts this season going 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA. out of his five starts, he managed to only give up 1 run or less in 3 of them, he doesn’t strike out a lot of batter, but is in the top 20th percentile in the MLB in ground ball rate going up against a White Sox team that is top 10 in the MLB in ground balls hit. Back this Reds offense to win at home where they are 9-5 on the season.
According to scorecast with over 10,000 score simulations run the Reds are winning by an average of .6 runs and the Best Bet is Reds Money line at -105 at Playsugarhouse.
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Tuesday, May 4
| SCORECAST | ODDS | PITCHING MATCHUP | BEST BETS | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LA Dodgers 4.1 | Chi. Cubs 3.3 | LAD (-200) | Clayton Kershaw vs Kyle Hendricks | No Bet | ||
San Francisco 4.2 | Colorado 3.9 | COL (-127) | Alex Wood vs German Marquez | No Bet | ||
Arizona 4.5 | Miami 4.2 | MIA (-145) | Riley Smith vs Sandy Alcantara | No Bet | ||
Chi. White Sox 4.6 | Cincinnati 5.2 | CWS (-110) | Dylan Cease vs Jeff Hoffman | BEST BET – CIN ML | ||
Houston 4.8 | NY Yankees 4.6 | NYY (-122) | Zack Greinke vs Domingo German | No Bet | ||
Atlanta 5.1 | Washington 4.6 | ATL (-134) | Huascar Ynoa vs Joe Ross | No Bet | ||
Milwaukee 4.7 | Philadelphia 4.8 | PHI (-152) | Eric Lauer vs Aaron Nola | BEST BET – MIL +1.5 | ||
Detroit 4.0 | Boston 6.2 | BOS (-190) | Michael Fulmer vs Nick Pivetta | No Bet | ||
LA Dodgers 4.1 | Chi. Cubs 2.9 | LAD (-243) | Trevor Bauer vs Keegan Thompson | No Bet | ||
Texas 4.5 | Minnesota 5.4 | MIN (-165) | Kyle Gibson vs J.A. Happ | No Bet | ||
NY Mets 4.1 | St. Louis 4.5 | NYM (-210) | Jacob deGrom vs Johan Oviedo | BEST BET – NYM/STL O6.5 | ||
Cleveland 4.8 | Kansas City 4.3 | KC (-136) | Sam Hentges vs Mike Minor | BEST BET – CLE ML | ||
San Francisco 3.9 | Colorado 4.0 | SF (-135) | TBD vs TBD | No Bet | ||
Tampa Bay 5.2 | LA Angels 4.6 | LAA (-120) | Shane McClanahan vs Alex Cobb | No Bet | ||
Toronto 4.6 | Oakland 5.2 | OAK (-120) | Anthony Kay vs Cole Irvin | No Bet | ||
Baltimore 4.4 | Seattle 5.2 | SEA (-134) | Jorge Lopez vs Justin Dunn | No Bet | ||
Pittsburgh 3.4 | San Diego 4.8 | SD (-225) | Mitch Keller vs Ryan Weathers | No Bet |
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