NBA Best Bets

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Best Bet: The 76ers did the inevitable in game 5 and let the Hawks come back from a 26-point lead while being outscored 40-19 in the fourth quarter. With 4:30 left in the game, the 76ers were holding a 97.3% chance to win the game, but they could not find any scoring outside of Joel Embiid and Seth Curry. This is giving the Hawks all of the momentum going into game 6 as they travel back to “The A”. Before the Hawks game 3 loss at home, they were on an NBA-season high 13 game home win streak, and were still able to turn around and win game 4 at home. With only 15 points scored from Lou Williams in game 4, he was one of the key players in the 2nd half for the Hawks on the defensive end causing the 76ers to take many contested shots outside of the paint as the shot clock ran down and ended with a +/- of +31 in only 22 minutes. You have to believe that the talk in the locker room at halftime consisted of the ball being moved through Trae Young more as he went into halftime with only 1 assist, which came from Atlanta’s final make in the first half, and the game changed from there on, as the drive and kick was working to perfection for them. The public is finding themselves underestimating the Hawks at home as the 76ers are holding 62% of the public tickets and 77% of the money%. This game at home will take a lot more than just Joel Embiid and Seth Curry to force a game 7, and our model is backing Trae Young and the Hawks to stay away from that game 7 and move on to face the winner of the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks.

According to scorecast with over 10,000 score simulations run the Hawks are winning by an average of 1 point and the Best Bet is Hawks Money line is +132 at Playsugarhouse. 

Don’t miss our daily Best Bets and free NBA picks below. Simulations Key – Green BEST BETOrange BETRed NO BET 


Friday, June 18

Philadelphia 108
Atlanta 109
PHI (-3)BEST BET – ATL MLPHI (+1200) / ATL (+2100)
East Semifinals – Game 6, ATL leads series 3-2
Utah 113
LA Clippers 111
UTA (-1.5)BEST BET – UTA MLUTA (+650) / LAC (+800)
West Semifinals – Game 6, LAC lead 3-2

Saturday, June 19

Milwaukee 110
Brooklyn 111
MIL (-1)BEST BET – BKN MLMIL (+440) / BKN (+220)
East Semifinals – Game 7, Series tied 3-3

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