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Best Bet: We head out to Denver for tonight’s Best Bet as the Wizards and the Nuggets are set to face-off in a non-conference matchup. This will be the Wizard’s 4th straight game on their road trip on the west coast in 6 days. Both of these teams have been hitting the over this season at a high rate as Denver is 21-10 and Washington is 16-13 vs the over, but in the NBA this season, teams that are top 10 in Over % that face off against each other, hit the under at a 61% rate. The last time these two teams saw each other, it seemed like they were just shooting the 3 ball the whole time as Jamaal Murray and Nikola Jokic combined for 25/46 (54.3%) from behind the arch, which has been a problem of Washington’s defense all year. This over feels inflated due to the performances of Jokic and Murray and is very unlikely for those same performances to come out tonight. The under in this matchup is only getting 39% of the bets currently, but 86% of the money. Fade the public in this matchup and expect Washington to slow their tempo down. Back the under of 237.5
According to scorecast with over 10,000 score simulations run the Nuggets & Wizards are going under by an average of 9.5 points and the Best Bet is Nuggets/Wizards U237.5 at Playsugarhouse.
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