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Best Bet: Continuing our hot NBA playoffs (7-2 in NBA Playoffs Best Bets) streak as the first round comes to an end and the 2nd round is beginning and we are heading to Portland for a bet in game 6 of the Denver Nuggets/Portland Trail Blazers series. We are coming off of an electrifying 2OT game where we saw Damian Lillard score 55 points, 10 assists, on 12-17 shooting from behing the arc, with only 1 turnover, but it just wasn’t enough to get past MVP candidate Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets. On paper, it seems like the Nuggets don’t have a lot of help on the floor, but offensively this Nuggets team has been putting on an unexpected clinic from downtown as they shot 20-44 (45.5%) from downtown in in their 7 point, 2OT win last game. This game will all come down to who has the better supporting cast outside of Lillard and Jokic, and for the Nuggets to cover this game, they will have to have a similar performance from Michael Porter Jr. that he had in game 5. Outside of his lackluster game 4, Porter Jr. averages 21 PPG and is shooting 54.1% while also grabbing 7 rebounds a game. Jokic can spread the floor and create the plays for the role players, it’s just about them knocking down the shot. The Blazers have been giving the Nuggets all the looks to hit these shots too as they are trying to contest Jokic in the paint, so if this continues to happen, we could see the Nuggets covering yet another game in this series like they have in 3 of the last 4 games. Back for this game to remain close enough for the Nuggets to cover as our model has them covering by four points.
According to scorecast with over 10,000 score simulations run the Nuggets are covering by an average of 4 points and the Best Bet is Nuggets +5 at Playsugarhouse.
Don’t miss our daily Best Bets and free NBA picks below. Simulations Key – Green BEST BET– Orange BET– Red NO BET
Saturday, June 5
|POR (-5)||BEST BET – DEN +5|
|West 1st Round – Game 7 If Necessary, DEN leads series 3-2|
|BKN (-4)||BET – MIL ML|
LA Lakers 105
|LAL (-2)||No Bet|
|West 1st Round – Game 7 If Necessary, PHX leads series 3-2|
Sunday, June 6
|Clippers||113||BEST BET – LAC ML|
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