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Covid 19 is starting to impact the NFL with players from multiple teams now testing positive. The impact is huge, as witnessed by Cam Newton missing Monday Night Football for the New England Patriots. At this point in time the NFL’s plan is unclear, with game times being moved within the same week while others rescheduled completely. I can’t stress this enough, Monday Morning line betting is a NO in covid times. Yes, strategically you can get a better money line price or a few extra points at the spread, what happens when the starting Quarterback much like Cam Newton tests positive? The Risk Vs Reward isn’t available, much like future bets. It’s hard for me to get excited about future NFL betting while we witness the NFL without a concrete plan. Bet with a plan.
NFL Week 5 Best Bets
Carolina @ Atlanta -2.5
Matt Ryan and Dan Quinn have dominated the Panthers over the past 3 seasons and we only have to give up less than a field goal at home. Matt Ryan is 5-0 against Carolina with a passer rating of 115 and averages 342 passing yards per game. This season Carolina’s defense is ranked 31st on third downs and has the fewest sacks in the NFL and have allowed 7 rushing touchdowns, 2nd most in the league. Atlanta has played well without winning and desperate for a win against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
Jacksonville +6 @ Houston
Teams that fire their head coach mid season are 2 and 8 against the spread the following week. Houston will have a new head coach after a poor start to the season and are giving up a lot of points at home. Houston’s issues begin and end with their offensive line, Deshaun Watson has been sacked 16 times already this season. I don’t see how a new head coach can rectify that.
Indianapolis @ Cleveland Pick em
Cleveland balled out last week against the Dallas Cowboys, lets not forget the Dallas defense is ranked last in the NFL. They now face the Colts, whose defense ranks 1st in everything! The Colts defense allow 14 PPG, 236 YPG, only 159 Passing YPG and the opposing Quarterback averages a passer rating of 68! Baker Mayfield is in for a rough wake up call! Phillip Rivers is limited, but behind the Colts offensive line he is completing 73% of his passes.
Best Bet Colts Money line -110
Minnesota +7.5 @ Seattle
Must win game for the Vikings. This is a great matchup for Minnesota. They have struggled defensively but they can pass the ball down the field with WR’s Thielen and Jefferson. The Seattle Seahawks have allowed the most passing yards per game in the Super Bowl era! Kirk Cousins will have plenty of time to throw the ball and this is a high scoring affair. Take the points!
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PREMIUM PLAYS & NFL PICKS AND BEST BETS
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Our daily free pick is the best value selection of the day, our premium picks are available for $30. The below Scorecast is a guide from our algorithm that has yielded profit over 4 straight seasons.
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Sunday, October 11
|SCORECAST||SPORTSBETTING BEST BETS|
|Carolina 28||Atlanta 35||Best Bet Atlanta -2.5 -110|
|Las Vegas 21||Kansas City 37||No Bet|
|Arizona 28||New York 18||No Bet|
|Philadelphia 26||Pittsburgh 28||No Bet|
|Los Angeles 26||Washington 21||No Bet|
|Cincinnati 21||Baltimore 35||No Bet|
|Jacksonville 31||Houston 28||Best Bet Jacksonville +6 -110|
|Miami 24||San Francisco 33||No Bet|
|Indianapolis 28||Cleveland 20||Best Bet Colts Money Line -110|
|New York 28||Dallas 35||No Bet|
|Minnesota 32||Seattle 31||Best Bet Vikings +7.5 -110|
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