NFL Best Betting teams after week 6.
The 49ers, Bills and Lions continue to be the punters best friend. Covering 4-1 ATS on the season. The data continues to fool Sports books and they are noted to be teams to follow moving forward. While the Falcons, Chargers and Ravens continue to be over hyped from a betting perspective.
Betting Market Over Reactions
The Patriots continue to be hammered in future bets to win the Super Bowl firming again after week 6 +300 to +260. After all this is Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. The problem for me is this team has yet to be truly tested, has the easiest schedule in the history of the National Football League and offense looks just ok. They took on the damaged Antonio Brown, knowing they needed offensive upgrades, that blew up in there face and I just don’t see them scoring enough points against quality opposition. Yes the defense looks like the best Belichick has had, statistically that is accurate. Let me remind you, they played the Jets and a 3rd string Quarterback, the winless Redskins, the winless Dolphins, the Giants missing their top 3 targets and the Steelers with an injured QB. This is a huge over reaction to a Belichick team that prefers to fly under the radar, especially through the first month of the season. Yes they can only beat what is put in front of them, but the Patriots schedule is giving us value elsewhere. They play a Jets team that is coming off an impressive win with the return of QB Sam Darnold and laying -10.5 away from home?
Value
The Saints. They are flying. The New Orleans Saints flew into Jacksonville and put the brakes on a jaguars offense that was lighting up opposing defenses. This team is for real, the hype train and media will be back on the popular vote once Drew Brees returns. They are the best value in Future bets right now. It wont be upon a successful Drew Brees return, Sportsbet handicapper value is at +500 current quote +800.
Notable NFL Futures Odds Movements
Below are some notable odds shifts after week 6:
| Notable Super Bowl Odds Movements | ||
| Pre-Week 6 | Current | |
| Patriots | +300 | +260 |
| Chiefs | +600 | +900 |
| Eagles | +1200 | +1700 |
| Seahawks | +2500 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1600 | +2000 |
| Notable Division Winner Odds Movements | ||
| Team | Pre-Week 6 | Current |
| AFC North | ||
| BAL Ravens | -155 | -195 |
| CLE Browns | +140 | +350 |
| PIT Steelers | +1200 | +350 |
| CIN Bengals | +10000 | +12500 |
| NFC North | ||
| GB Packers | +120 | -120 |
| MIN Vikings | +260 | +250 |
| CHI Bears | +260 | +400 |
| DET Lions | +900 | +1100 |
| NFC West | ||
| SF 49ers | +165 | +110 |
| SEA Seahawks | +225 | +165 |
| LA Rams | +140 | +300 |
| ARI Cardinals | +12500 | +10000 |
BEST BETTING TEAMS
NFL Against the Spread
Here is every teams straight up and against-the-spread records through 6 weeks:
| Updated Team Records SU and ATS | ||
| Team | SU Record | ATS Record |
| 49ers | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Bills | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Lions | 2-2-1 | 4-1 |
| Colts | 3-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Patriots | 6-0 | 4-2 |
| Vikings | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Panthers | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Texans | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Packers | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Saints | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Cardinals | 2-3-1 | 4-2 |
| Rams | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Raiders | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Steelers | 2-4 | 3-2-1 |
| Broncos | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Seahawks | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Jaguars | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Chiefs | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Cowboys | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Bengals | 0-6 | 3-3 |
| Bears | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Jets | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Titans | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Buccaneers | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Eagles | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Giants | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Browns | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Ravens | 4-2 | 1-4-1 |
| Chargers | 2-4 | 1-4-1 |
| Dolphins | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Redskins | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Falcons | 1-5 | 1-5 |
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