Scorecast continued its NFL playoff betting hot streak last week going 4-4 including the upset victory of the Titans. Confidence is blazing as we head into Championship weekend with two honestly average matchups on paper, but were ok with that as it does setup a fantastic Super Bowl Sunday in Miami.
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Packers @ 49ers
WARNING do not be fooled by this statistic, the Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against winning teams. Why? Because the lone loss over that span came Nov. 24 at San Francisco in the 49ers’ 37-8 win.
The 49ers showed in their win over the Vikings that the defense is back in top form, and that’s bad news for a Packers offense that couldn’t muster 200 yards in the regular-season meeting between the two teams. Points will be hard to come by for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense, which is why I think the 49ers can score enough to cover this number. Green Bay’s weakness on defense is defending the run, and Kyle Shanahan’s team ran more than it threw during the regular season before dominating the Vikings last week. I don’t think we’re getting 37-8 again based on Aaron Rodgers knows he will have to take risks to win this game, scorecast after 10,000 simulations has the score at 34 – 21.
Titans @ Chiefs
The Chiefs’ 24-0 deficit to Houston last week doesn’t concern me. The Chiefs came out of the bye week a little nervous and made some mistakes. It wasn’t as if the Texans were beating them, the Chiefs just made errors. But when they got going, they were unstoppable. They put up 51 versus the Texans and they’ll get in the 30s against Tennessee. With Patrick Mahomes in total control, Damien Williams has scored four touchdowns the past two weeks, and Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are rolling. This is the Titans’ fourth straight road game, and to add to that they have relied heavily on the run game of Derrick Henry. You have to score in bunches against the Chiefs and I don’t think they are capable of putting up 30 points with Ryan Tannehill. Lay the points. Scorecast after 10,000 simulations has the score at 37 – 17.
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