NFL Draft 2023 Betting Report

Sportsbook report and major market movers for the NFL 2023 Draft. After his undistinguished 2022 season at the University of Kentucky, bettors have warmed to quarterback Will Levis as the first pick in the NFL draft on Thursday. 

The sportsbooks have taken more money and sold more tickets on Levis to go No. 1 overall in the past week than any other draft option. His odds plummeted from +8000 to +500 before climbing to the current +1000 while becoming the most popular pick, followed by fellow QBs C.J. Stroud of Ohio State and Bryce Young of Alabama.

Young (-2000) is the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 and has been since late March. He was the public’s top choice by money until the week of the draft.

Stroud (+2500) opened as the favorite and flip-flopped with Young several times throughout the early spring. Levis recently jumped ahead of Stroud for the second shortest odds. 

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Here is the range of odds for the three signal-callers since betting began: 

—Young: -2000 (Current), -2500 (Shortest), +350 (Longest)

—Levis: +1000 (Current), +500 (Shortest), +8000 (Longest)

—Stroud: +2500 (Current), -400 (Shortest), +3000 (Longest)

Both sides of the bet for O/U total QBs selected in the first round are the two most popular over/under position bets by total tickets. Under 4.5 is backed by 51.6 percent. 

Young, Stroud, Levis and Anthony Richardson of Florida are expected to get selected in the first round. The O/U bet could hinge on whether Hendon Hooker of Tennessee joins them.

Alabama defensive lineman Will Anderson and Northwestern offensive lineman Peter Skoronski are the most popular non-QBs for total money and tickets across draft bets.

Anderson (+100) remains the public’s pick by money (56.8 percent) and tickets (40.9 percent) to become the first defensive player selected although Texas Tech linebacker Tyree Wilson has overtaken him for the shortest odds (-134).

Here are lists for several categories of wagering offered by the sportsbooks.

No. 1 overall pick by % of money (% of tickets)

1. Will Levis +1000 — 32.9% (45.2%)
2. Bryce Young -2000 — 30.7% (14.7%)
3. C.J. Stroud +2500 — 28.3% (21.1%)
4. Anthony Richardson +5000 — 5.7% (10.2%)
5. Will Anderson +20000 — 1.1% (3.5%)

No. 2 overall pick by % of money (% of tickets)

1. C.J. Stroud +400 — 34.7% (31.7%)
2. Will Levis +250 — 27.9% (17.0%)
3. Will Anderson +250 — 17.7% (16.1%)
4. Tyree Wilson +150 — 10.3% (10.6%)
5. Bryce Young +1000 — 6.9% (13.6%)

No. 3 overall pick by % of money (% of tickets)

1. Will Levis +800 — 30.2% (14.2%)
2. C.J. Stroud +500 — 19.8% (11.2%)
3. Will Anderson +225 — 18.6% (20.3%)
4. Anthony Richardson +1400 — 16.4% (9.1%)
5. Paris Johnson +350 — 7.2% (12.7%)

Consensus public bets with shortest odds, most money and most tickets

Fifth overall pick: Jalen Carter (-125) — 39.8%, 34.3%

Tenth overall pick: Peter Skoronski (+300) — 49.3%, 25.5%

First WR drafted: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (-400) — 76.8%, 47.7%

Second WR drafted: Zay Flowers (+150) — 91.2%, 42.9%

Second QB drafted: Will Levis (-167) — 89.5%, 42.4%

Third QB drafted: C.J. Stroud (+160) — 41.6%, 41.1%

First TE drafted: Michael Mayer (-182) — 52.55, 51.7%

First OL drafted: Paris Johnson (-250) — 52.3%, 27.9%

First CB drafted: Devon Witherspoon (-225) — 47.3%, 40.7%

Top 5 most wagered-on NFL draft markets by % of money (% of tickets)

1. First overall pick — 23.6% (24.7%)
2. Second overall pick — 10.2% (13.6%)
3. First defensive player drafted — 5.2% (5.3%)
4. Total RBs in first round — 4.8% (2.1%)
5. First WR drafted — 4.7% (4.6%)

Top 5 most wagered-on Over/Under position bets by % of total money

1. Under 1.5 total RBs drafted in first round (+145) — 10.8% 
2. Under 2.5 total TEs drafted in first round (-305) — 9.9% 
3. Over 4.5 Total QBs drafted in first round (-167)  — 7.3%
4. Under 3.5 total WRs drafted in first round (+103) — 7.2%
5. Over 5.5 total OLs drafted in first round (-500) — 7.0%

Top 5 most wagered-on Over/Under position bets by % of total tickets

1. Over 4.5 Total QBs drafted in first round (-167)  — 12.8%
2. Under 4.5 total QBs drafted in first round (+128) — 12.6%
3. Under 1.5 total TEs drafted in first round (-305) — 7.9%
4. Over 1.5 total RBs drafted in first round (-190) — 7.6%
5. Over 5.5 total DBs drafted in first round (-200) — 6.6%

Top 5 most wagered-on “player to be drafted in first round” bets by % of money

1. Peter Skoronski (-10000) — 16.9%
2. Deonte Banks (-1250) — 11.6%
3. Anton Harrison (-560) — 11.2%
4. Darnell Wright (-1250) — 9.7%
5. Calijah Kancey (-400) — 8.1%

 Top 5 most wagered-on “player to be drafted in first round” bets by % of tickets

1. Anton Harrison (-560) — 9.5%
2. Emmanuel Forbes (-625) — 7.1%
3. Calijah Kancey (-400) — 6.2%
4. Deonte Banks (-1250) — 5.7%
5. O’Cyrus Torrence (-143) —  5.5%