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First place in the AFC South is up for grabs in Thursday Night Football when the Houston Texans host the Indianapolis Colts. The Texans certainly should have no lack of motivation after suffering a 41-7 pounding by the Baltimore Ravens last week. The Colts have had their number in recent matchups, winning and covering the last three meetings which includes two in Houston. The betting angle that perfectly describes the tale of the tape in this matchup is the Texans going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games versus winning teams while the Colts are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 such contests. That leaves us with definitive value on the Colts ATS +4. The Houston Texans are too overvalued to not take the points here.
I would typically be cautious after leading rusher Marlon Mack went over 100 yards before fracturing his hand and missing this contest. But Jonathan Williams, who had one yard on the season, stepped in and gained 116 on 13 carries as Indianapolis churned out 264 yards on the ground its highest total since 2004 in there win over Jacksonville last week. They shouldn’t have any issues running the ball.
Best Bet Indianapolis Colts +4 -110
Score Predictions – Colts 26 – Texans 23
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