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Betting Advantage – Spread Betting during a pandemic. A high majority of stadiums have no fans due to covid 19, as a result Sportsbooks have essentially shortened the home advantage number. For example the Eagles were embarrassed by Washington last week, while the Rams beat a good team in Dallas at home. Early betting has the Eagles -1 ATS? In general Sportsbooks handicap the home team 3 points advantage, with no crowds that has become the bettors advantage.
Atlanta @ Dallas -5 – Dak Prescott is a lock at home. In 2019 he ranked 3rd in YPG, 1st in Passing TD’s and had a passer rating of 109. Dak has 3 stud wide receivers in Cooper, Gallup and Lamb, a much better receiving group than the Seahawks who destroyed the Falcons secondary. The Falcons come off a game where they offensively out-gained Seattle and still got badly beaten. All eyes on Mike McCarthy Dallas win and cover in a high scoring game.
Best Bet – Dallas Cowboys -5 -110
Detroit +6.5 @ Green Bay – The number isn’t right here. Detroit out played the Bears last week in all but 8 minutes. Everyone is back on the Aaron Rodgers bandwagon however his numbers over the last 9 games are very average. Honestly I think the Packers week 1 performance was more about how bad the Vikings defense is than how good the Packers are. Buy low, sell high. I’m selling the Packers. The lions lost to the Packers last season in both games but only by a total of 4 points. This game is close and the Lions win outright but the value is with the points!
Best Bet – Detroit Lions +6.5 -110
Buffalo @ Miami +5.5 – I still think Bill Belichick’s Patriots defense is one of the best in the NFL. Miami get +5.5 at home only because they come off a tough outing on the road in New England. Ryan Fitzpatrick has a passer rating of 100 against the Bills and a 4-1 TD-INT ratio. The Bills averaged 19 points a game last season, that’s just not enough to give any team +5.5 at home. Miami wins in an upset, take the value with the points.
Carolina @ Tampa bay -7 – The Panthers allow on average over the past 12 months 30 points per game. This is a great rebound spot for Tom Brady and his new weapons. Brady has never lost the first 2 games of the season in his career and Tampa’s defense just quietly kept Drew Brees and the Saints to 160 passing yards. I’m not concerned the Buccaneers lost to the Saints in week 1, this is a new group that will get better every week. It’s going to be a long season in Carolina.
New England +4.5 @ Seattle – Seattle won in week 1 but they were badly beaten on the offensive and defensive lines. The Falcons actually outgained them in yards. Bill Belichick’s defense in the last 12 months is 1st in all categories, PPG allowed, Total YPG allowed, Interceptions and keep opposing Quarterbacks to a passer rating of 61! Look for New England to run the ball and control time of possession and keep this game low scoring. Seattle is the better team, but I’ll gladly take the Patriots and the points.
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Online Sports Betting in America BET NOW IN – NEW JERSEY – COLORADO – ILLINOIS – INDIANA
Sunday, September 20
SCORECAST | NAT TV | LOCATION | ||||
New York 24 | Chicago 22 | CBS | BEST BET Bears +89 @ POINTSBET | |||
Atlanta 26 | Dallas 35 | FOX | Best Bet Dallas -5 -110 | |||
Detroit 28 | Green Bay 26 | FOX | Best Bet Detroit +6.5 -110 | |||
Jacksonville 17 | Tennessee 27 | CBS | No Bet | |||
Minnesota 35 | Indianapolis 33 | FOX | Value Bet Over 48 | |||
Buffalo 17 | Miami 21 | CBS | Best Bet Miami +5.5 -110 | |||
San Francisco 24 | New York 14 | FOX | No Bet | |||
Los Angeles 32 | Philadelphia 25 | FOX | Best Bet Rams +1 -110 | |||
Denver 17 | Pittsburgh 24 | CBS | No Bet | |||
Carolina 21 | Tampa Bay 36 | FOX | Best Bet Tampa Bay -7 -110 | |||
Washington 18 | Arizona 25 | FOX | No Bet | |||
Kansas City 32 | Los Angeles 21 | CBS | No Bet | |||
Baltimore 30 | Houston 21 | CBS | No Bet | |||
New England 20 | Seattle 21 | NBC | Best Bet Patriots +4.5 -110 |
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