NFL Super Bowl Preview, Matchups, Odds & Best Bets – Bet the Super Bowl Rams Vs Patriots

The New England Patriots appearing in their third straight Super Bowl under the dynasty of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady face the new kids on the block Sean McVay and Jared Goff when they meet the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta.

It’s fitting the Patriots face off against the Rams as it was way back in February 2002, the New England Patriots pulled off one of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history, a win that elevated Tom Brady to national Superstardom and launched the birth of what we know now as the Brady/Belichick era beating the Rams 20-17. On Sunday’s anniversary of that milestone victory, the Patriots will play in a remarkable ninth Super Bowl in 18 seasons. The 2018/19 season was supposed to be the year the 41 year old Tom Brady showed signs of age, but Brady’s post season has been sensational and the Patriots have continued to defy the odds this year. Will it continue against the high flying Rams? Let’s dive in.

Los Angeles Rams Vs New England Patriots

Full PreviewComplete MatchupsLive OddsBet the Super Bowl Here

Early Super Bowl Betting – Money Talks

Bet the Super Bowl – Shortly after one of the greatest Conference Championship days in history, in which we witnessed two overtime victories Sportsbooks across the globe tried to make sense of what we had just encountered. Apparently according to Sports Bettors they were wrong as Sportsbooks opened up the game a pick’em with even money line betting and the money came in a flurry and hard. Immediately the Patriots were smashed in betting starting at -110 and backed into -150 with the spread from 0 to -2.5 in a matter of hours.

What does the betting move mean?

To put it very simple Sports Books and oddsmakers rely on statistical data, for example Sportsbet Magazine scorecast ran 10,000 simulations on data taken from the entire season. The result was 51.5% Los Angeles Rams winning, whilst the Patriots were winning 48.5% of simulations. So the spread at release was just about right. However this data does not take into account further funnels such as Tom Brady and Bill Belichick’s postseason record and more importantly recent form. When the same simulations were run 10,000 times for the Playoffs, the results were much different and more resemble the line we now see across major sportsbooks.

Super Bowl Showdown – The Team’s

Super Bowl Betting – The Statistical Matchups to know before you Bet

Los Angeles Rams Complete Statistics Vs New England Patriots Complete Statistics

Breaking Down the Winner

New England Patriots – Money line -150 – ATS -2.5

Advantage Patriots: Simply put, the Patriots have Brady and Belichick leading the way. This is their ninth appearance in the Super Bowl together, so they know the drill more than any quarterback-coach combination in NFL history. That alone makes the Patriots a dangerous team in the highest-stakes game. To put into context Tom Brady has played 10 Thursday Night Football games and this will be his 9th Super Bowl appearance.

Major Concerns: Aaron Donald. The Rams’ defensive tackle is the best in the NFL at the position, and he could make life difficult for Brady. The Patriots are strong on the interior of their offensive line with left guard Joe Thuney, center David Andrews and right guard Shaq Mason, so it will be interesting to see how much attention the Patriots devote to Donald, who led the league with 20.5 sacks. And then there’s Ndamukong Suh to deal with as well. So far throughout the Playoffs the Patriots power has been their offensive line which has led to time of possession in the Patriots favor, if Donald and Suh can pressure Brady it’s a game changer.

How the Patriots Can Win: they have a player rush for more than 100 yards. Since the Belichick-Brady era began in 2000, they are 11-0 in the postseason when a player rushes for 100 yards, and 51-1 in the regular season. The revived running game led by Sony Michel and James White has helped settle things for the offense down the stretch, making life easier for Brady. Keeping running plays in the back pocket for the playoffs has been a signature move for Belichick throughout his career.

X factor: White, who is going to get carries in the Super Bowl out of the Patriots’ one- and two-back personnel groupings. His impact as a receiver changes the game for defenses. White caught 87 passes during the regular season, added a whopping 15 receptions in the divisional playoff win over the Chargers, then tacked on another four grabs in the AFC Championship Game win. His ability to work the flat, produce in the screen game and create matchups underneath against linebackers is crucial to the Patriots’ passing attack, especially on third downs.

Key Statistic: The Patriots ran man coverage 59.8 percent of the time in the regular season, the highest rate in NFL. Their corners will have to deal with the speed and talent of Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods on the outside of the Rams’ high-octane offense in Atlanta. Is that sustainable against this Rams offense?

Los Angeles Rams – Money line +130 – ATS +2.5

Advantage Rams: Sean McVay. The second-year coach never has coached on a stage of this magnitude, but over two seasons the offensive wunderkind has proved his innate leadership ability and willingness to evolve as a play caller. McVay’s offense is full of weapons, including a much-improved quarterback in Goff, a dynamic duo in Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson, and two 1,000-plus-yard receivers in Cooks and Woods. And recently, he has found a way to keep defenses on edge in utilizing every single one of them. Goff was 7-of-7 for 107 yards when targeting Cooks in the NFC Championship Game.

Major Concerns: Experience. There’s no telling how a team of young playmakers will react when they take the field for the biggest game of their careers. They showed their poise in a divisional-round win and in the NFC Championship Game, but Cooks and cornerback Aqib Talib are the only offensive and defensive starters with Super Bowl experience.

How the Rams Can Win: Avoid turnovers. A common denominator in all three of the Rams’ regular-season losses were turnovers by Goff, he threw an interception against the Saints, threw four against the Bears and was responsible for two turnovers in a loss to the Eagles. If Goff can take care of the football, the Rams can win the Super Bowl.

X factor: Woods caught 86 passes for 1,219 yards during the regular season. He also added six scores in a system that fits his skill set. Look for Woods to show up running intermediate cuts off the Rams’ early-down play-action concepts, while also creating separation on deep crossing routes. And when Goff can throw in rhythm, Woods will find the open voids in the coverage to move the sticks. He’s a slick route runner with the toughness to make plays inside the numbers versus both zone and man coverage.

Key Statistic: Goff entered Sunday’s NFC title game with the most play-action pass attempts this season. He went 10-of-12 for 108 yards and a touchdown off play-action in the win over the Saints.

Scorecast Predictions

The data is in! Our Computer simulated genius. 4 years in the making, testing, twisting and perfecting it is with great pride and confidence we introduce you to our Scorecast Super Bowl picks. Much like our newborn baby, she’s been spoon fed every possible piece of statistical data imaginable. Tried and tested algorithms and the most in depth weekly filters leaves nothing to chance. Human emotion eliminated, prepare to test drive the best data driven analysis in sports betting.

Best Bet – At the Spread – Patriots -2.5 -110

Best Bet – Money line – Patriots -150

Best Bet – Over/Under – Over 57 -110

Best Prop Bet – Rob Gronkowski 1st TD Scorer +1500

Final Score –  Patriots 31 – Rams 26

Super Bowl Betting – Odds & Markets

The latest 2019 Super Bowl odds have the New England Patriots at -2.5 against the Los Angeles Rams, while the over-under is set at 57.5. If you’re laying a bet on the money line, the Rams are at +130, meaning a $100 bet on Los Angeles to win outright would return $130. This Feb. 3 matchup in Atlanta is one of the most-anticipated games in recent history as a proven dynasty in New England looks to add another title, while Sean McVay and the Rams look to prove they are the league’s new top power. The Matchup started at even odds, with one way betting all on Tom Brady and the Patriots to win. SportsBooks already will lose plenty if Timeless Tom does it again.

SUPER BOWL ODDS

New England Patriots

Money Line -150

ATS -2.5

Los Angeles Rams

Money line +130

ATS +2.5

Over/Under 57.5 -110

SUPER BOWL 53 MOST VALUABLE PLAYER ODDS

FIRST TOUCHDOWN SCORER

  • Sony Michel (NE) +500
  • Todd Gurley (LA) +600
  • C.J. Anderson (LA) +700
  • Brandin Cooks (LA) +750
  • Robert Woods (LA) +750
  • James White (NE) +900
  • Julian Edelman (NE) +900
  • Chris Hogan (NE) +900
  • Josh Reynolds (LA) +1000
  • Rex Burkhead (NE) +1000
  • Rob Gronkowski (NE) +1500
  • Tyler Higbee (LA) +2000
  • Phillip Dorsett (NE) +2000
  • Gerald Everett (LA) +2500
  • Cordarrelle Patterson (NE) +4000
  • Jared Goff (LA) +5000
  • James Develin (NE) +5000
  • Tom Brady (NE) +5000
  • John Kelly (LA) +10000
  • Johnny Mundt (LA) +10000
  • Any Other Touchdown Scorer +700
  • No Touchdown Scorer +10000

TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS

  • OVER 5.5 -230
  • UNDER 5.5 +190
  • OVER 6.5 -135
  • UNDER 6.5 +105
  • OVER 7.5 +155
  • UNDER 7.5 -190

TOTAL PASSING YARDS FOR TOM BRADY

  • OVER 300.5 -120
  • UNDER 300.5 -110

TOTAL PASSING YARDS FOR JARED GOFF

  • OVER 289.5 -115
  • UNDER 289.5 -115

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS FOR SONY MICHEL

  • OVER 80.5 -115
  • UNDER 80.5 -115

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS FOR REX BURKHEAD

  • OVER 22.5 -115
  • UNDER 22.5 -115

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS FOR JAMES WHITE

  • OVER 19.5 -115
  • UNDER 19.5 -115

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS FOR TODD GURLEY

  • OVER 72.5 -115
  • UNDER 72.5 -115

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS FOR C.J. ANDERSON

  • OVER 49.5 -115
  • UNDER 49.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR BRANDIN COOKS

  • OVER 70.5 -115
  • UNDER 70.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR JOSH REYNOLDS

  • OVER 49.5 -115
  • UNDER 49.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR ROBERT WOODS

  • OVER 74.5 -115
  • UNDER 74.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR ROB GRONKOWSKI

  • OVER 54.5 -115
  • UNDER 54.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR JAMES WHITE

  • OVER 55.5 -115
  • UNDER 55.5 -115

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS FOR JULIAN EDELMAN

  • OVER 84.5 -115
  • UNDER 84.5 -115

WILL A SPECIAL TEAMS OR DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWN BE SCORED?

  • YES +155
  • NO -190

TOTAL SUCCESSFUL FIELD GOALS

  • OVER 2.5 -290
  • UNDER 2.5 +230
  • OVER 3.5 -110
  • UNDER 3.5 -120
  • OVER 4.5 +230
  • UNDER 4.5 -290

TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS

  • OVER 5.5 -230
  • UNDER 5.5 +190
  • OVER 6.5 -135
  • UNDER 6.5 +105
  • OVER 7.5 +155
  • UNDER 7.5 -190

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