Quick Reminder – We are undefeated on Thursday Night Football this season!
Best Bet – BALTIMORE (+2) @ TAMPA BAY (-2) Over/Under 46
This number is truly bizarre to me and just a pure Tom Brady number.The Buccaneers have lost four of their last five games. The first two were respectable losses to equally good teams, but the last two were horrible defeats as double-digit favorites against two of the lowest-rated teams in the NFL. The two-week rating drop for Tampa Bay is almost four points, a drastic dip from the usual adjustments without a QB injury. The Bucs have rushed for 75 yards or fewer in their last six games, and the execution was at its worst Sunday at Carolina. Tampa Bay likely won’t have safety Antoine Winfield, who left Sunday’s 21-3 loss at Carolina with a concussion. When he exited, Carolina began pounding the Bucs on the ground, which is something the Baltimore Ravens are very good at.
The Ravens average nine more points per game than the Buccaneers, and their three defeats have come by a combined 11 points in contrast to Tampa’s 22. Baltimore has repaired its leaky defense and, over the past three weeks, has ranked among the league’s best.
Baltimore Ravens – 30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 24
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