Best Bet – Los Angeles Chargers (+4.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) O/U 54
Only one matchup between superstar Quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert has been decided by more than 1 possession and Mahomes did not play in that matchup. Makes the spread interesting at 4.5. Important to note that Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker will miss Thursday Night Football and they will rely on a rookie elevated to the squad 2 days ago. I believe this will play well for Over bettors as the Chiefs will likely go for it more on 4th down especially in potential field goal situations.
Derwin James didn’t play when Travis Kelce lit up the Chargers last season and I think he plays a huge role in shutting down Kelce tonight. Whilst the Chargers will be without Keenan Allen lets not dismiss the Chiefs are without Tyreek Hill. I know he has been traded but this is a huge factor as Hill has been the kryptonite for the Chargers and Mahomes safety net in this AFC West matchup.
Crazy Justin Herbert Fact – The Chargers have been in contention in divisional games, and all non-overtime divisional losses have been by five points or fewer. Additionally, his two losses to the Chiefs both came in overtime. The Chargers get +4.5 tonight!
Prop Bet Value – The Chargers running game on a short week traveling to Arrowhead will look to keep the ball out of Mahomes hands and control time of possession on the road.
Los Angeles Chargers – 30
Kansas City Chiefs – 27
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